| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
4 |
0.745 |
$3.13 |
$0.53 |
+20.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.298 |
$1.69 |
$-0.07 |
-3.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.855 |
$1.44 |
$0.23 |
+18.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3 |
0.460 |
$1.42 |
$0.19 |
+15.0% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2 |
0.510 |
$1.20 |
$0.28 |
+30.3% |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
No |
1 |
1.000 |
$1.18 |
$0.12 |
+11.0% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? |
Yes |
11 |
0.095 |
$1.00 |
$-0.05 |
-5.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.145 |
$0.75 |
$-0.39 |
-34.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3 |
0.184 |
$0.64 |
$-0.01 |
-2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.037 |
$0.62 |
$0.03 |
+5.7% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.061 |
$0.61 |
$0.21 |
+52.5% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
2 |
0.255 |
$0.51 |
$0.00 |
+0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat? |
Yes |
16 |
0.025 |
$0.40 |
$-0.10 |
-19.3% |
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.260 |
$0.40 |
$-0.10 |
-19.6% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
4 |
0.065 |
$0.28 |
$-0.02 |
-7.1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
3 |
0.095 |
$0.27 |
$-0.05 |
-16.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.046 |
$0.24 |
$-0.01 |
-4.2% |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
6 |
0.035 |
$0.22 |
$-0.18 |
-45.3% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.114 |
$0.20 |
$-0.17 |
-46.3% |
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
2 |
0.087 |
$0.18 |
$-0.17 |
-48.9% |
| Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
Yes |
5 |
0.029 |
$0.15 |
$-0.18 |
-54.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
4 |
0.039 |
$0.15 |
$-0.03 |
-18.8% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? |
Yes |
4 |
0.038 |
$0.14 |
$-0.02 |
-14.5% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
15 |
0.005 |
$0.08 |
$-1.12 |
-93.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? |
Yes |
1 |
0.011 |
$0.01 |
$-0.04 |
-72.7% |