PnL (30d)

+$73

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+43.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

3W / 3L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

3W / 4L

Trades (30d)

7

across 6 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$14.65

avg win $44 · loss $5

Profit Factor

5.93

$88 won / $15 lost

Reward / Risk

8.90

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 3W/3L	6	$267
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$156
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	3,680	0.816	$3,001.23	$1,161.11	+63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,680	0.184	$679.00	$-1,161.11	-63.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	30	0.962	$28.86	$1.02	+3.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	15	0.586	$8.78	$-2.69	-23.5%