Log in
Trader leaderboard/TaxIsTheft

TaxIsTheft

0xa7b5bf2089e3de036ae68425461407343466fa78
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5,182
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-27.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
104W / 92L · 107 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
200W / 103L
Trades (30d)
303
across 41 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$161.94
avg win $350 · loss $395
Profit Factor
0.40
$3,501 won / $8,684 lost
Reward / Risk
0.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$36
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,990 · all-time $2,121,662

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.3% 106W/123L 57 $37,365
⚽ Sports 75.0% 3W/1L 7 $363

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 37,500 0.184 $6,918.72 $-1,944.78 -21.9%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 127,413 0.049 $6,179.52 $1,036.63 +20.2%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 208,346 0.029 $6,146.21 $2,278.89 +58.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 4,983 0.945 $4,708.78 $576.80 +14.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50,501 0.052 $2,651.33 $582.79 +28.2%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 180,050 0.013 $2,340.65 $-671.77 -22.3%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 5,000 0.395 $1,975.00 $-25.00 -1.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 18,240 0.084 $1,523.04 $242.01 +18.9%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 47,869 0.025 $1,215.88 $86.74 +7.7%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 5,834 0.145 $845.94 $320.87 +61.1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 40,954 0.014 $573.36 $-90.96 -13.7%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 100,346 0.005 $551.90 $-505.34 -47.8%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 5,834 0.069 $399.61 $10.93 +2.8%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 33,500 0.011 $385.25 $-186.63 -32.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 12,068 0.030 $368.07 $19.51 +5.6%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 24,000 0.015 $348.00 $1.13 +0.3%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 2,300 0.145 $333.50 $-1,092.49 -76.6%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 3,700 0.075 $277.50 $9.51 +3.5%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 26,250 0.011 $275.62 $-124.19 -31.1%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 25,000 0.009 $237.50 $-162.50 -40.6%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 3,176 0.074 $235.05 $48.20 +25.8%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 5,401 0.043 $229.55 $13.50 +6.2%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 225 0.963 $216.29 $16.29 +8.1%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 79,900 0.003 $199.75 $-442.89 -68.9%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 4,539 0.043 $192.92 $27.20 +16.4%