PnL (30d)

−$363

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$104

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-13.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

85W / 42L · 38 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

106W / 57L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

165

across 37 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$12.96

avg win $35 · loss $100

Profit Factor

0.64

$634 won / $996 lost

Reward / Risk

0.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.9% 85W/42L	37	$4,842
🏛 Politics	100.0% 8W/0L	2	$752
💵 Economy	100.0% 8W/0L	2	$752
⚽ Sports	—	1	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

59 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	807	0.830	$670.10	$115.66	+20.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	4,000	0.055	$219.99	$-195.91	-47.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	200	0.835	$167.42	$99.86	+147.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	180	0.855	$153.89	$62.00	+67.5%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	150	0.645	$96.74	$1.25	+1.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	100	0.845	$84.44	$37.01	+78.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	70	0.958	$67.03	$14.25	+27.0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.209	$41.90	$-10.10	-19.4%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	40	0.968	$38.70	$6.50	+20.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.135	$26.90	$25.75	+2239.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.117	$23.30	$22.15	+1926.8%
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	200	0.095	$19.00	$1.00	+5.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.090	$18.10	$16.95	+1474.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.088	$17.70	$16.55	+1439.7%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	Yes	516	0.018	$9.03	$-16.77	-65.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.044	$8.90	$7.75	+674.2%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.025	$5.08	$3.93	+341.9%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.025	$4.90	$3.75	+326.2%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.023	$4.60	$3.45	+300.1%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.015	$3.10	$1.95	+169.7%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.015	$3.10	$1.95	+169.7%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.015	$2.90	$1.75	+152.3%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.013	$2.60	$1.45	+126.2%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.013	$2.50	$1.35	+117.5%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	200	0.011	$2.10	$0.95	+82.7%