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Trader leaderboard/sirmisterk

sirmisterk

0xa6b8d99acfa5ddf3939baa889a8e0cdef8a44bdf
PnL (30d)
+$125
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
70%
2,770W / 1,194L · 836 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
3,354W / 1,418L · 28 open
Trades (30d)
4,800
across 400 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$0.42
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.52
$366 won / $241 lost
Reward / Risk
2.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,298 · all-time $2,101,972

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.9% 2,770W/1,194L 400 $7,542
🏛 Politics 63.3% 57W/33L 29 $168
💵 Economy 88.9% 8W/1L 12 $87
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/12L 7 $36
₿ Crypto 100.0% 8W/0L 5 $65
🤖 Tech 2 $5
🔬 Science 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? No 5 0.829 $4.08 $1.86 +84.2%
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 29 0.128 $3.64 $-0.39 -9.6%
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes 50 0.051 $2.51 $0.17 +7.4%
Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027? No 4 0.590 $2.36 $1.04 +78.8%
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Yes 3 0.740 $1.94 $0.58 +42.3%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? No 3 0.705 $1.88 $1.46 +340.6%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.645 $1.69 $0.46 +37.2%
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes 10 0.165 $1.65 $-1.95 -54.2%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.885 $1.47 $0.84 +133.2%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 4 0.320 $1.13 $0.50 +77.8%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? Yes 1 0.620 $0.79 $0.24 +44.2%
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.240 $0.76 $-0.13 -14.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Yes 5 0.125 $0.59 $-0.96 -61.8%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch No 1 0.430 $0.53 $-0.03 -4.8%
Blue wave in 2026? No 2 0.255 $0.53 $0.13 +34.2%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 4 0.122 $0.48 $0.26 +118.7%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? Yes 5 0.085 $0.42 $-0.02 -5.5%
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026? No 1 0.240 $0.33 $-0.06 -14.3%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? Yes 1 0.160 $0.21 $-0.11 -34.7%
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? Yes 3 0.052 $0.15 $-0.02 -10.3%
Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes 10 0.011 $0.11 $-0.01 -12.5%
Will LDPR win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections? Yes 7 0.015 $0.10 $-0.11 -51.6%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes 4 0.025 $0.10 $0.05 +111.6%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes 1 0.081 $0.09 $-0.07 -42.9%
Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)? Yes 6 0.015 $0.09 $-0.03 -22.4%