| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,550 |
0.845 |
$2,154.72 |
$82.55 |
+4.0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,200 |
0.955 |
$2,101.12 |
$68.71 |
+3.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.345 |
$1,034.70 |
$-221.29 |
-17.6% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
850 |
0.963 |
$818.12 |
$-2.88 |
-0.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.375 |
$750.00 |
$-142.00 |
-15.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.165 |
$659.99 |
$-81.98 |
-11.0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
721 |
0.915 |
$659.94 |
$20.99 |
+3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.375 |
$562.50 |
$-62.50 |
-10.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
954 |
0.535 |
$510.37 |
$118.92 |
+30.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
12,500 |
0.040 |
$493.75 |
$-31.24 |
-6.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.905 |
$362.09 |
$58.01 |
+19.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
457 |
0.790 |
$360.79 |
$-11.10 |
-3.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
450 |
0.750 |
$337.49 |
$-30.00 |
-8.2% |
| Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
No |
338 |
0.992 |
$334.80 |
$57.66 |
+20.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
360 |
0.905 |
$325.80 |
$49.80 |
+18.0% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
350 |
0.875 |
$306.25 |
$-0.75 |
-0.2% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.015 |
$290.00 |
$42.16 |
+17.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
No |
894 |
0.315 |
$281.61 |
$17.67 |
+6.7% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
2,490 |
0.095 |
$236.53 |
$-344.37 |
-59.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
750 |
0.305 |
$228.75 |
$-30.25 |
-11.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
261 |
0.850 |
$221.41 |
$31.36 |
+16.5% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.845 |
$211.25 |
$69.00 |
+48.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
1,600 |
0.114 |
$181.60 |
$-226.49 |
-55.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
200 |
0.875 |
$175.00 |
$6.00 |
+3.6% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? |
No |
364 |
0.445 |
$161.98 |
$-21.17 |
-11.6% |