PnL (30d)

−$86

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$300

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

94%

15W / 1L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

83%

15W / 3L

Trades (30d)

18

across 8 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$12.29

avg win $2 · loss $96

Profit Factor

0.11

$10 won / $96 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	98.2% 1,269W/23L	269	$268,930
⚽ Sports	92.3% 60W/5L	24	$20,769
₿ Crypto	88.2% 15W/2L	9	$2,064
🎬 Culture	100.0% 10W/0L	4	$852
🏛 Politics	100.0% 4W/0L	2	$799

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	3,704	0.855	$3,166.67	$1,166.67	+58.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	1,662	0.780	$1,296.30	$563.92	+77.0%