| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
42 |
0.265 |
$11.11 |
$1.10 |
+11.0% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.895 |
$8.93 |
$0.92 |
+11.5% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.275 |
$3.44 |
$1.44 |
+71.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
5 |
0.610 |
$2.78 |
$0.77 |
+38.6% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.875 |
$2.43 |
$0.43 |
+21.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
3 |
0.900 |
$2.34 |
$0.34 |
+16.9% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.325 |
$2.24 |
$0.24 |
+12.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.853 |
$2.23 |
$0.23 |
+11.4% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.625 |
$2.16 |
$0.16 |
+7.8% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.066 |
$2.00 |
$-0.05 |
-2.4% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.535 |
$1.92 |
$-0.09 |
-4.3% |