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Trader leaderboard/GonTanaka

GonTanaka

0xa62abc8cb1fb4dc98ff0bd11b1cd89854e3aa8ff
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$622
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-33.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
45W / 87L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
46W / 87L
Trades (30d)
133
across 70 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$9.01
avg win $6 · loss $23
Profit Factor
0.24
$201 won / $823 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,882 · all-time $336,417

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.6% 286W/157L 172 $59,021
🏛 Politics 69.7% 23W/10L 13 $4,669
🎬 Culture 94.7% 18W/1L 7 $3,546
🤖 Tech 2 $57
🔬 Science 2 $57
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $4
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 1 $110

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 10,870 0.977 $10,614.56 $614.15 +6.1%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 965 0.695 $670.49 $-28.50 -4.1%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 540 0.987 $532.70 $29.13 +5.8%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 507 0.987 $500.16 $39.80 +8.6%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? Yes 708 0.700 $495.70 $-10.02 -2.0%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 180 0.984 $177.03 $3.66 +2.1%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 130 0.954 $123.95 $9.86 +8.6%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 143 0.835 $119.41 $19.30 +19.3%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 156 0.745 $115.94 $6.37 +5.8%
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? Yes 131 0.835 $109.63 $1.29 +1.2%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? Yes 122 0.875 $106.75 $17.02 +19.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 110 0.963 $105.88 $10.17 +10.6%
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No 100 0.949 $94.85 $6.05 +6.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 100 0.835 $83.50 $9.50 +12.8%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 100 0.786 $78.65 $7.95 +11.2%
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee? No 45 0.865 $38.92 $7.57 +24.1%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? No 36 0.884 $32.02 $4.22 +15.2%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? Yes 10 0.915 $9.16 $1.65 +22.0%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? No 8 0.962 $7.38 $0.17 +2.3%