PnL (30d)

−$59

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$131

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

251W / 385L · 134 open

Win Return (30d)

35%

265W / 503L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

770

across 69 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

−$1.03

avg win $42 · loss $32

Profit Factor

0.94

$1,006 won / $1,065 lost

Reward / Risk

1.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$92

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.5% 251W/385L	69	$24,351
₿ Crypto	27.5% 19W/50L	5	$1,373
🎬 Culture	5.9% 1W/16L	4	$293
💵 Economy	34.6% 18W/34L	2	$1,085
🏛 Politics	—	2	$367

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	22,751	0.015	$341.26	$26.69	+8.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	4,000	0.030	$122.00	$-2.00	-1.6%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	229	0.325	$74.38	$-1.75	-2.3%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	110	0.515	$56.64	$-1.65	-2.8%
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	11	0.315	$3.46	$-1.59	-31.5%