| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
30,000 |
0.972 |
$29,144.97 |
$285.00 |
+1.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
15,681 |
0.539 |
$8,459.72 |
$6,177.21 |
+270.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,079 |
0.645 |
$3,276.14 |
$2,574.41 |
+366.9% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,246 |
0.968 |
$2,173.03 |
$46.46 |
+2.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
2,948 |
0.644 |
$1,898.60 |
$-625.03 |
-24.8% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,814 |
0.860 |
$1,560.31 |
$202.94 |
+15.0% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
No |
1,703 |
0.855 |
$1,456.43 |
$600.20 |
+70.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,529 |
0.260 |
$1,434.78 |
$843.14 |
+142.5% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
3,429 |
0.395 |
$1,354.26 |
$1,079.06 |
+392.1% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
17,044 |
0.075 |
$1,278.33 |
$1,086.83 |
+567.6% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,206 |
0.926 |
$1,117.76 |
$102.31 |
+10.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
904 |
0.992 |
$896.35 |
$387.99 |
+76.3% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,171 |
0.745 |
$872.64 |
$255.71 |
+41.4% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? |
No |
973 |
0.880 |
$856.17 |
$122.91 |
+16.8% |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Yes |
2,043 |
0.409 |
$836.23 |
$794.54 |
+1906.1% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
816 |
0.954 |
$777.71 |
$18.53 |
+2.4% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
8,104 |
0.095 |
$765.85 |
$391.01 |
+104.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? |
No |
756 |
0.895 |
$676.96 |
$97.08 |
+16.7% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
687 |
0.971 |
$666.38 |
$3.78 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat? |
Yes |
662 |
0.950 |
$629.20 |
$26.49 |
+4.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
672 |
0.935 |
$628.34 |
$27.24 |
+4.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
591 |
0.995 |
$588.03 |
$150.92 |
+34.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,716 |
0.335 |
$574.84 |
$-47.84 |
-7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat? |
Yes |
595 |
0.935 |
$556.33 |
$8.93 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? |
Yes |
2,382 |
0.230 |
$547.95 |
$20.38 |
+3.9% |