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Trader leaderboard/pioneers2026

pioneers2026

0xa5c7114b3c17cc6b64afd5883eaabc7272497e7b
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$6
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
71W / 0L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
99%
85W / 1L
Trades (30d)
86
across 15 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.53
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,212 · all-time $478,884

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.5% 974W/637L 309 $50,924
🏛 Politics 65.4% 34W/18L 22 $3,657
⚽ Sports 73.3% 22W/8L 19 $1,061
₿ Crypto 52.9% 27W/24L 9 $1,567
💵 Economy 46.2% 6W/7L 6 $985
🎬 Culture 100.0% 36W/0L 6 $926
🌤 Weather 1 $28
🔬 Science 1 $28

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No 31 0.986 $30.69 $0.33 +1.1%
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No 32 0.962 $30.54 $0.02 +0.1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 30 0.951 $28.79 $0.08 +0.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 31 0.939 $28.76 $0.35 +1.2%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 30 0.945 $28.61 $0.45 +1.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 30 0.935 $28.48 $0.15 +0.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 31 0.911 $28.48 $0.17 +0.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 30 0.953 $28.47 $0.16 +0.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 30 0.940 $28.43 $0.00 +0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 29 0.969 $28.37 $-0.10 -0.4%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? No 30 0.951 $28.35 $0.27 +1.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 31 0.915 $28.30 $0.15 +0.5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 31 0.905 $28.26 $0.16 +0.6%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 29 0.969 $28.25 $-0.04 -0.2%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 30 0.925 $28.19 $0.15 +0.5%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 31 0.915 $27.97 $0.15 +0.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 30 0.925 $27.83 $-0.45 -1.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 31 0.900 $27.80 $-0.62 -2.2%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 29 0.964 $27.76 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 29 0.971 $27.72 $-0.07 -0.3%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 29 0.962 $27.60 $-0.16 -0.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 29 0.961 $27.58 $-0.13 -0.5%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 30 0.915 $27.57 $0.15 +0.5%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 27 0.961 $26.07 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No 27 0.962 $25.90 $-0.08 -0.3%