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Trader leaderboard/Prexpect

Prexpect

0xa59c570a9eca148da55f6e1f47a538c0c600bb62
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$442
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$287
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
375W / 165L · 98 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
465W / 173L
Trades (30d)
638
across 53 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$11.95
avg win $25 · loss $25
Profit Factor
2.80
$688 won / $246 lost
Reward / Risk
1.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $54,521 · all-time $22,754,058

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.9% 913W/339L 125 $171,815
🏛 Politics 89.9% 249W/28L 39 $24,592
🎬 Culture 89.9% 249W/28L 38 $24,589
💵 Economy 1 $118
🤖 Tech 1 $118

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 14,000 0.816 $11,417.00 $4,417.00 +63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 14,000 0.184 $2,583.00 $-4,417.00 -63.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 4,063 0.435 $1,767.22 $1,603.37 +978.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 4,029 0.265 $1,067.71 $908.92 +572.4%
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? No 876 0.835 $731.61 $61.41 +9.2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 3,954 0.162 $638.51 $466.72 +271.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.185 $555.00 $439.62 +381.0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 619 0.855 $529.23 $18.29 +3.6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.175 $525.00 $409.62 +355.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 489 0.980 $478.88 $10.12 +2.2%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.155 $465.00 $349.62 +303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.125 $375.00 $259.62 +225.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 3,681 0.095 $349.68 $136.07 +63.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.105 $315.00 $199.62 +173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.075 $226.50 $111.12 +96.3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 2,842 0.065 $184.74 $75.43 +69.0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 200 0.635 $127.00 $9.00 +7.6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 2,900 0.040 $114.55 $3.01 +2.7%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 35,000 0.003 $87.50 $-50.29 -36.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 3,505 0.024 $84.12 $-96.90 -53.5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.025 $76.20 $-39.18 -34.0%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 30,000 0.003 $75.00 $-159.36 -68.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 4,010 0.018 $72.18 $-82.64 -53.4%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 1,000 0.065 $65.00 $-100.00 -60.6%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 35,000 0.002 $52.50 $-85.29 -61.9%