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Trader leaderboard/pennedreadful

pennedreadful

0xa540e7ff75ef4bf7ebc6c793cbabe87cee970b43
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$10,374
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$110
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
2,183W / 2,070L · 686 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
2,545W / 2,390L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
4,939
across 588 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$22.80
avg win $160 · loss $45
Profit Factor
1.76
$23,984 won / $13,609 lost
Reward / Risk
3.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,586
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $242,337 · all-time $13,647,483

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.3% 5,151W/5,091L 1312 $412,545
₿ Crypto 53.8% 846W/727L 278 $71,051
💵 Economy 53.8% 846W/727L 278 $71,051

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in August? Yes 1,857 0.610 $1,132.82 $212.98 +23.2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5? Yes 1,434 0.785 $1,125.85 $-160.15 -12.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No 1,138 0.890 $1,012.84 $57.97 +6.1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 5? No 1,000 0.982 $981.50 $51.50 +5.5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on August 5? Yes 991 0.915 $907.44 $-9.19 -1.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 1,296 0.650 $842.12 $89.73 +11.9%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in August? Yes 939 0.745 $699.38 $101.10 +16.9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? Up 1,653 0.415 $686.09 $-369.14 -35.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? Yes 1,124 0.585 $657.45 $-111.24 -14.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? Yes 805 0.815 $655.67 $354.45 +117.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 742 0.825 $612.20 $55.88 +10.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? Yes 1,734 0.335 $580.82 $-332.11 -36.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 596 0.925 $551.32 $67.17 +13.9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 5? No 500 0.985 $492.50 $17.50 +3.7%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on August 5? Yes 1,081 0.455 $491.98 $-270.80 -35.5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on August 5? No 490 0.980 $479.66 $19.34 +4.2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 5? No 504 0.930 $468.71 $91.03 +24.1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5? No 481 0.960 $462.15 $24.44 +5.6%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August? Yes 879 0.465 $408.54 $59.05 +16.9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? Yes 1,019 0.385 $392.44 $245.69 +167.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? No 500 0.695 $347.45 $-7.55 -2.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 1,012 0.334 $338.16 $119.09 +54.4%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August? Yes 357 0.775 $277.04 $33.16 +13.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? No 300 0.847 $253.95 $5.35 +2.2%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? Yes 732 0.290 $212.35 $121.02 +132.5%