| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
4,682 |
0.261 |
$1,219.62 |
$30.41 |
+2.6% |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
863 |
0.046 |
$39.69 |
$-157.82 |
-79.9% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
20 |
0.670 |
$13.38 |
$3.45 |
+34.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
24 |
0.358 |
$8.46 |
$-1.99 |
-19.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? |
Yes |
48 |
0.165 |
$7.92 |
$-6.92 |
-46.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
11 |
0.535 |
$5.86 |
$1.86 |
+46.5% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
150 |
0.029 |
$4.42 |
$-5.63 |
-56.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.320 |
$4.10 |
$-0.90 |
-17.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? |
Yes |
61 |
0.061 |
$3.75 |
$-5.85 |
-61.0% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
130 |
0.025 |
$3.29 |
$-1.16 |
-26.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.675 |
$1.30 |
$0.30 |
+29.8% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
21 |
0.054 |
$1.16 |
$0.16 |
+16.0% |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.004 |
$1.05 |
$-2.55 |
-70.8% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
11 |
0.071 |
$0.78 |
$-0.22 |
-22.4% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
8 |
0.094 |
$0.72 |
$-0.28 |
-27.7% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
45 |
0.013 |
$0.61 |
$-0.39 |
-38.6% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
9 |
0.055 |
$0.47 |
$-3.53 |
-88.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? |
Yes |
14 |
0.021 |
$0.30 |
$-0.70 |
-70.4% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
22 |
0.013 |
$0.27 |
$-4.73 |
-94.6% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? |
Yes |
8 |
0.029 |
$0.24 |
$-0.76 |
-76.3% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? |
Yes |
4 |
0.041 |
$0.15 |
$-0.85 |
-84.8% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
26 |
0.003 |
$0.07 |
$-4.93 |
-98.7% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
106 |
0.001 |
$0.05 |
$-8.17 |
-99.4% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.001 |
$0.03 |
$-19.39 |
-99.9% |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
25 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-8.99 |
-99.9% |