PnL (30d)

+$2

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

173W / 137L · 119 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

199W / 230L

Trades (30d)

429

across 169 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.02

avg win $5 · loss $6

Profit Factor

1.01

$321 won / $318 lost

Reward / Risk

0.83

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$34

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.8% 173W/137L	169	$2,805
🏛 Politics	66.7% 4W/2L	9	$82
🎬 Culture	66.7% 4W/2L	8	$77
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$5
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$5
⚽ Sports	—	1	$10
🤖 Tech	—	1	$5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?	No	20	0.894	$18.24	$-1.25	-6.4%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	26	0.600	$15.60	$3.12	+25.0%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	9	0.575	$5.23	$0.23	+4.5%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	16	0.270	$4.32	$-0.64	-12.9%
Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August?	Yes	2	0.655	$1.31	$-0.05	-3.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	6	0.215	$1.29	$-3.15	-70.9%
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	2	0.500	$0.90	$-0.09	-9.1%
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?	Yes	5	0.132	$0.66	$-0.20	-22.8%