| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
176,000 |
0.997 |
$175,384.00 |
$87,384.00 |
+99.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
10,857 |
0.515 |
$5,591.17 |
$1,307.21 |
+30.5% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
5,179 |
0.580 |
$3,003.83 |
$-252.26 |
-7.7% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
3,988 |
0.490 |
$1,954.35 |
$-7.93 |
-0.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.685 |
$1,644.00 |
$996.00 |
+153.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,902 |
0.465 |
$1,349.25 |
$737.74 |
+120.6% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
2,388 |
0.375 |
$895.44 |
$47.70 |
+5.6% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
176,000 |
0.004 |
$616.00 |
$-87,383.83 |
-99.3% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
1,268 |
0.485 |
$615.12 |
$19.02 |
+3.2% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
1,171 |
0.480 |
$561.99 |
$135.62 |
+31.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.225 |
$540.00 |
$60.00 |
+12.5% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
950 |
0.512 |
$486.87 |
$107.41 |
+28.3% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
495 |
0.886 |
$438.82 |
$107.88 |
+32.6% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
1,191 |
0.295 |
$351.39 |
$66.61 |
+23.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
950 |
0.325 |
$308.75 |
$274.82 |
+810.0% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.055 |
$132.00 |
$-221.80 |
-62.7% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
5,843 |
0.021 |
$119.78 |
$82.90 |
+224.7% |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
41,855 |
0.003 |
$104.64 |
$20.93 |
+25.0% |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
104 |
0.998 |
$104.00 |
$0.37 |
+0.4% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? |
No |
114 |
0.860 |
$97.82 |
$10.08 |
+11.5% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
100 |
0.875 |
$87.50 |
$-1.50 |
-1.7% |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? |
No |
89 |
0.952 |
$84.22 |
$7.17 |
+9.3% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
31,215 |
0.003 |
$78.04 |
$15.61 |
+25.0% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
85 |
0.839 |
$71.72 |
$0.94 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
2,113 |
0.033 |
$68.66 |
$32.73 |
+91.1% |