PnL (30d)

−$15

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

3W / 3L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

6W / 9L

Trades (30d)

15

across 7 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$5.05

avg win $13 · loss $41

Profit Factor

0.63

$25 won / $41 lost

Reward / Risk

0.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 3W/3L	13	$3,595
🏛 Politics	—	3	$428
⚽ Sports	—	3	$203

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	1,288	0.700	$901.74	$49.10	+5.8%
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	771	0.825	$636.07	$-19.92	-3.0%
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	Yes	707	0.785	$555.00	$3.25	+0.6%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	475	0.845	$401.46	$20.63	+5.4%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	430	0.900	$387.00	$10.45	+2.8%
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	155	0.940	$146.06	$3.11	+2.2%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	120	0.745	$89.34	$17.46	+24.3%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	120	0.635	$76.20	$-0.50	-0.7%
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	110	0.615	$67.65	$19.25	+39.8%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	768	0.055	$42.24	$-94.90	-69.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	360	0.117	$41.94	$-13.46	-24.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.278	$27.75	$2.85	+11.4%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	182	0.128	$23.33	$0.89	+4.0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,200	0.004	$14.40	$-11.20	-43.7%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	320	0.030	$9.76	$-0.48	-4.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	150	0.049	$7.27	$-0.67	-8.5%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	100	0.045	$4.50	$-0.70	-13.5%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	390	0.011	$4.09	$-0.97	-19.2%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,100	0.004	$3.85	$-6.05	-61.1%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	700	0.004	$2.45	$-3.85	-61.1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	160	0.015	$2.32	$-2.16	-48.2%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	160	0.007	$1.20	$-0.72	-37.5%