PnL (30d)

+$49

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$282

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

59%

737W / 505L · 2,701 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

3,424W / 519L

Trades (30d)

3,943

across 51 markets · ~77 per market

EV / position

+$2.71

avg win $65 · loss $15

Profit Factor

1.23

$262 won / $213 lost

Reward / Risk

4.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$24

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.3% 737W/505L	51	$1,247
🤖 Tech	100.0% 5W/0L	9	$88
🎬 Culture	—	4	$22
💵 Economy	—	2	$67

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	19,927	0.003	$59.78	$39.85	+200.0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	20,436	0.003	$51.09	$-4.43	-8.0%
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	50	0.997	$49.83	$24.82	+99.3%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	5,761	0.007	$43.21	$19.48	+82.1%
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	14,927	0.003	$37.32	$7.46	+25.0%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	13,301	0.003	$33.25	$3.37	+11.3%
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	5,782	0.005	$28.91	$1.90	+7.0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	18,391	0.002	$27.59	$9.20	+50.0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	14,905	0.002	$22.36	$7.45	+50.0%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	10,068	0.002	$20.14	$10.07	+100.0%
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	7,586	0.003	$18.96	$0.16	+0.8%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	8,198	0.002	$16.40	$8.20	+100.0%
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	5,848	0.003	$14.62	$2.13	+17.1%
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	8,245	0.002	$12.37	$4.12	+50.0%
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	3,228	0.004	$11.30	$-0.55	-4.7%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	708	0.015	$10.27	$8.14	+383.3%
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	83	0.119	$9.94	$6.20	+165.6%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	6,548	0.002	$9.82	$3.27	+50.0%
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.002	$7.50	$-2.50	-25.0%
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	177	0.039	$6.92	$4.98	+256.9%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	796	0.009	$6.76	$4.38	+183.3%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	4,185	0.002	$6.28	$-2.09	-25.0%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	2,500	0.002	$3.75	$1.25	+50.0%
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	2,228	0.002	$3.34	$1.11	+50.0%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	2,225	0.002	$3.34	$1.11	+50.0%