PnL (30d)

+$87

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

452W / 248L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

467W / 249L

Trades (30d)

716

across 357 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.25

avg win $4 · loss $5

Profit Factor

1.12

$845 won / $757 lost

Reward / Risk

0.78

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$30

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.4% 901W/566L	680	$4,970
₿ Crypto	61.4% 81W/51L	73	$528

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

59 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	4,300	0.541	$2,326.30	$176.30	+8.2%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	4,300	0.459	$1,973.70	$-176.30	-8.2%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	17	0.885	$15.04	$6.71	+80.6%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 1PM ET	Down	17	0.525	$8.92	$0.59	+7.1%
BNB Up or Down - August 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	17	0.505	$8.59	$0.26	+3.1%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	17	0.495	$8.41	$0.08	+1.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 7PM ET	Up	17	0.480	$8.16	$-0.17	-2.0%
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.619	$6.19	$6.06	+4790.1%
BNB Up or Down - August 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	12	0.495	$6.11	$0.06	+1.0%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.555	$5.55	$5.44	+4839.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	13	0.205	$2.73	$-3.79	-58.2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	5	0.495	$2.43	$0.02	+1.0%
BNB Up or Down - August 6, 12AM ET	Down	5	0.495	$2.28	$0.02	+1.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.213	$2.13	$2.02	+1800.2%
Will Dylan Cease strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.200	$2.00	$1.87	+1476.1%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	17	0.115	$1.95	$-6.37	-76.5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	2	0.750	$1.76	$0.61	+53.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4PM ET	Down	2	0.500	$0.93	$0.02	+2.0%
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.086	$0.86	$0.74	+582.6%
Will Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.085	$0.85	$0.72	+571.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.065	$0.65	$0.54	+478.5%
Will Cam Schlittler strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.042	$0.41	$0.29	+227.8%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.028	$0.28	$0.16	+144.7%
Will Sonny Gray strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.022	$0.22	$0.09	+73.7%
Will Logan Gilbert strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	10	0.021	$0.21	$0.08	+65.9%