| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
768 |
0.974 |
$748.21 |
$76.21 |
+11.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.945 |
$472.50 |
$33.50 |
+7.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.50 |
$-1.50 |
-0.5% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
211 |
0.942 |
$198.66 |
$-0.53 |
-0.3% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.983 |
$196.60 |
$1.40 |
+0.7% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
200 |
0.935 |
$187.00 |
$71.00 |
+61.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.925 |
$138.75 |
$6.75 |
+5.1% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.888 |
$133.28 |
$-0.07 |
-0.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.885 |
$132.75 |
$-2.25 |
-1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
150 |
0.865 |
$129.75 |
$5.25 |
+4.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.825 |
$123.75 |
$-8.25 |
-6.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
120 |
0.905 |
$108.60 |
$0.60 |
+0.6% |
| Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? |
No |
96 |
0.975 |
$93.53 |
$0.32 |
+0.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
100 |
0.924 |
$92.45 |
$3.05 |
+3.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.755 |
$90.60 |
$9.30 |
+11.4% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$14.50 |
+20.7% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
100 |
0.785 |
$78.50 |
$-2.50 |
-3.1% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? |
No |
80 |
0.973 |
$77.84 |
$0.32 |
+0.4% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
88 |
0.750 |
$66.00 |
$14.76 |
+28.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.635 |
$63.50 |
$7.50 |
+13.4% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
100 |
0.540 |
$54.00 |
$-9.00 |
-14.3% |