| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
260 |
0.755 |
$195.99 |
$-23.17 |
-10.6% |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? |
No |
202 |
0.958 |
$193.41 |
$7.57 |
+4.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
178 |
0.968 |
$172.30 |
$160.04 |
+1305.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
168 |
1.000 |
$167.63 |
$46.24 |
+38.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat? |
No |
178 |
0.935 |
$166.43 |
$6.23 |
+3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat? |
No |
179 |
0.870 |
$155.73 |
$-3.58 |
-2.2% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
207 |
0.695 |
$143.58 |
$11.42 |
+8.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5? |
No |
166 |
0.800 |
$132.80 |
$5.38 |
+4.2% |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $105 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
123 |
0.994 |
$122.26 |
$18.94 |
+18.3% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.977 |
$122.06 |
$14.56 |
+13.5% |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
122 |
0.995 |
$121.33 |
$32.27 |
+36.2% |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? |
No |
121 |
1.000 |
$120.94 |
$88.86 |
+277.0% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%? |
No |
122 |
0.986 |
$120.29 |
$38.29 |
+46.7% |
| Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? |
No |
123 |
0.968 |
$119.06 |
$14.51 |
+13.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? |
No |
123 |
0.965 |
$118.69 |
$10.45 |
+9.7% |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.940 |
$117.50 |
$16.25 |
+16.0% |
| Will 4–5 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? |
No |
126 |
0.925 |
$116.55 |
$3.15 |
+2.8% |
| Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
121 |
0.959 |
$116.04 |
$11.98 |
+11.5% |
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
120 |
0.965 |
$115.74 |
$13.74 |
+13.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
175 |
0.655 |
$114.62 |
$-7.87 |
-6.4% |
| Will Jamie Zahlaway Belsito be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? |
No |
115 |
0.996 |
$114.54 |
$2.99 |
+2.7% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? |
No |
168 |
0.680 |
$114.24 |
$3.78 |
+3.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? |
No |
111 |
0.996 |
$110.56 |
$11.86 |
+12.0% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Buffalo Bills next? |
No |
111 |
0.997 |
$110.20 |
$7.46 |
+7.3% |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $58 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
115 |
0.955 |
$109.83 |
$37.38 |
+51.6% |