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Trader

0xa3de21c8e8248a3bccfec6b68e33d4504802111a
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$30
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
3W / 3L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
6W / 11L
Trades (30d)
17
across 8 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$14.93
avg win $0 · loss $30
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $30 lost
Reward / Risk
0.00
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $561,417

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 77.5% 31W/9L 27 $771
💵 Economy 2 $30
🏛 Politics 1 $26

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 62,083 0.009 $527.70 $27.88 +5.6%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 50 0.964 $48.19 $8.19 +20.5%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 369 0.095 $35.08 $-14.92 -29.8%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 12,500 0.003 $31.25 $-18.75 -37.5%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 122 0.185 $22.54 $-11.73 -34.2%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 229 0.095 $21.73 $-13.11 -37.6%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 769 0.025 $19.23 $-0.77 -3.8%
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? No 20 0.855 $17.24 $-2.76 -13.8%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 32 0.397 $12.75 $2.75 +27.5%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes 433 0.026 $11.27 $1.27 +12.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 27 0.375 $10.14 $0.13 +1.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? No 11 0.881 $10.03 $0.03 +0.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 154 0.065 $10.03 $-3.86 -27.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 111 0.075 $8.33 $-1.67 -16.7%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? No 233 0.013 $3.14 $-16.86 -84.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? Yes 156 0.013 $2.11 $-7.89 -78.9%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes 10 0.037 $0.37 $-0.13 -26.0%
Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 214 0.001 $0.11 $-2.27 -95.5%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? Yes 1 0.036 $0.04 $-0.21 -84.2%