| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
1,162 |
0.790 |
$918.23 |
$-2.66 |
-0.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,028 |
0.835 |
$858.49 |
$45.01 |
+5.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
704 |
0.816 |
$573.90 |
$4.64 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
548 |
0.985 |
$539.31 |
$3.56 |
+0.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
583 |
0.866 |
$504.84 |
$-3.63 |
-0.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
552 |
0.911 |
$502.84 |
$1.69 |
+0.3% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
486 |
0.997 |
$484.30 |
$0.40 |
+0.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
475 |
0.883 |
$420.02 |
$0.29 |
+0.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
462 |
0.857 |
$395.92 |
$-0.36 |
-0.1% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
386 |
0.942 |
$363.64 |
$-1.21 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
372 |
0.935 |
$348.14 |
$16.01 |
+4.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
314 |
0.976 |
$305.83 |
$6.97 |
+2.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
306 |
0.968 |
$296.06 |
$-2.56 |
-0.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
573 |
0.460 |
$263.20 |
$2.27 |
+0.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
310 |
0.840 |
$259.98 |
$-11.58 |
-4.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
466 |
0.540 |
$252.14 |
$-5.12 |
-2.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,125 |
0.209 |
$235.61 |
$1.77 |
+0.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
340 |
0.675 |
$229.39 |
$30.59 |
+15.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
216 |
0.987 |
$213.55 |
$2.82 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
241 |
0.865 |
$208.14 |
$8.42 |
+4.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
208 |
0.961 |
$199.71 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
186 |
0.982 |
$182.56 |
$-0.65 |
-0.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
210 |
0.865 |
$181.28 |
$6.21 |
+3.5% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
163 |
0.998 |
$162.59 |
$0.90 |
+0.6% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
162 |
0.962 |
$155.48 |
$-0.84 |
-0.5% |