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Trader

0xa371ada2bc7e0e1c3a867de5b0c60ec752045db6
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 4L
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 4L
Trades (30d)
4
across 4 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.02
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,445 · all-time $116,230

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 22.1% 17W/60L 62 $557
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $4
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $12
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $12
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $4
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $1
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 5,767 0.265 $1,528.38 $-1,243.60 -44.9%
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? No 183 0.922 $169.22 $64.31 +61.3%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? No 169 0.790 $133.23 $30.05 +29.1%
Ledger IPO before 2027? No 109 0.895 $97.56 $39.93 +69.3%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No 94 0.835 $78.75 $17.29 +28.1%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 27 0.835 $22.60 $7.11 +45.9%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 18 0.945 $16.58 $0.26 +1.6%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 112 0.114 $12.73 $-42.20 -76.8%
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes 106 0.115 $12.19 $-62.50 -83.7%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? Up 13 0.945 $12.08 $2.36 +24.3%
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No 9 0.954 $9.03 $3.12 +52.9%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 1,324 0.005 $7.28 $-383.33 -98.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes 50 0.055 $2.77 $-0.25 -8.3%
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? Yes 30 0.059 $1.77 $-11.14 -86.3%
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes 46 0.034 $1.54 $-17.29 -91.8%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes 49 0.019 $0.96 $-0.07 -7.1%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 122 0.004 $0.43 $-46.02 -99.1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? Yes 100 0.001 $0.05 $-0.95 -95.0%
Will Brashad Hasley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado? Yes 2 0.000 $0.00 $-0.09 -100.0%
Will Nichole Miner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado? Yes 2 0.000 $0.00 $-0.09 -100.0%