| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.615 |
$2,459.96 |
$-231.67 |
-8.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,049 |
0.625 |
$655.91 |
$172.17 |
+35.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.550 |
$550.00 |
$122.00 |
+28.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
500 |
0.895 |
$447.50 |
$187.50 |
+72.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
350 |
0.870 |
$304.50 |
$129.50 |
+74.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.300 |
$299.99 |
$45.00 |
+17.6% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
455 |
0.625 |
$284.54 |
$22.87 |
+8.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.155 |
$38.75 |
$-46.25 |
-54.4% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.615 |
$37.55 |
$0.33 |
+0.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
500 |
0.065 |
$32.50 |
$-105.36 |
-76.4% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.570 |
$28.50 |
$5.38 |
+23.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.375 |
$22.88 |
$5.24 |
+29.7% |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? |
No |
20 |
0.900 |
$18.00 |
$5.60 |
+45.2% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.954 |
$3.81 |
$0.81 |
+27.1% |