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Trader leaderboard/korda77

korda77

0xa3282d3e882501229c75d0caf134e62e3afb4977
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$44
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$41
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
265W / 127L · 1,176 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
926W / 623L · 19 open
Trades (30d)
1,568
across 444 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.52
avg win $31 · loss $100
Profit Factor
0.98
$1,958 won / $2,002 lost
Reward / Risk
0.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$290
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $64,468 · all-time $4,212,866

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.9% 3,505W/775L 2878 $299,806
⚽ Sports 71.4% 40W/16L 173 $24,344
🏛 Politics 60.5% 95W/62L 147 $24,232
🎬 Culture 83.3% 35W/7L 66 $3,522
💵 Economy 57.1% 4W/3L 44 $19,207
₿ Crypto 92.3% 12W/1L 13 $670
🤖 Tech 7 $204

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 118 0.700 $82.60 $78.06 +1720.0%
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? Yes 109 0.325 $35.42 $30.69 +647.5%
Will Kyler Murray be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB? Yes 20 0.850 $17.00 $15.67 +1175.0%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 225 0.075 $16.87 $14.35 +567.6%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 20 0.324 $6.52 $5.46 +515.6%
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 10 0.467 $4.76 $4.16 +693.0%
Will Brann win Norway Eliteserien? No 4 0.998 $4.43 $0.20 +4.7%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.835 $4.07 $3.81 +1486.5%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No 4 0.967 $4.03 $0.95 +30.7%
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? No 4 0.972 $4.01 $0.14 +3.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No 5 0.808 $3.94 $0.34 +9.5%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 4 0.875 $3.50 $0.26 +8.0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 4 0.899 $3.19 $0.06 +1.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat? No 3 0.971 $3.03 $0.02 +0.6%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No 4 0.695 $2.95 $0.53 +21.9%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? No 3 0.945 $2.86 $0.83 +41.0%
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 47 0.061 $2.85 $-1.40 -32.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No 4 0.706 $2.81 $1.01 +55.8%
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 76 0.036 $2.74 $1.22 +80.0%
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? No 4 0.735 $2.65 $0.05 +2.1%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No 4 0.590 $2.62 $0.36 +16.1%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 225 0.011 $2.59 $0.06 +2.4%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No 3 0.855 $2.51 $0.57 +29.5%
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? No 3 0.760 $2.45 $1.77 +261.9%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes 4 0.670 $2.44 $2.16 +771.0%