PnL (30d)

−$54

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

20W / 29L · 663 open

Win Return (30d)

13%

79W / 515L · 118 open

Trades (30d)

712

across 40 markets · ~18 per market

EV / position

−$2.72

avg win $13 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.54

$64 won / $119 lost

Reward / Risk

1.62

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$50

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.8% 20W/29L	40	$1,123
⚽ Sports	44.1% 15W/19L	10	$120

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,693	0.005	$58.81	$-25.64	-30.4%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	19,000	0.002	$28.50	$-33.55	-54.1%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	6,000	0.004	$27.00	$-15.00	-35.7%
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	16,660	0.002	$24.99	$-25.52	-50.5%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	8,200	0.003	$20.50	$-16.80	-45.0%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4,000	0.002	$6.00	$-14.00	-70.0%