degensensei
0xa315514d7256eecc8266dab3923e2b4cdc763365
PnL (30d)
−$19
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$83
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
1W / 6L · 30 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
23W / 14L
Trades (30d)
37
across 14 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$4.70
avg win $62 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.77
$62 won / $80 lost
Reward / Risk
2.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$77
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,378 · all-time $83,968
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
300 |
0.946 |
$283.53 |
$9.15 |
+3.3% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
200 |
0.946 |
$189.10 |
$13.10 |
+7.4% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.933 |
$186.60 |
$-0.40 |
-0.2% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
198 |
0.855 |
$169.19 |
$-20.12 |
-10.6% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.515 |
$77.25 |
$10.95 |
+16.5% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
155 |
0.395 |
$61.15 |
$19.30 |
+46.1% |