SAPolitcsSeer
0xa30e451354cb41cfd46689a065defed989ea49d5
PnL (30d)
+$4,370
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$524
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
8W / 0L · 112 open
Win Return (30d)
98%
118W / 2L
Trades (30d)
120
across 12 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$874.06
avg win $874
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $217 · all-time $2,369,354
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
49,997 |
0.865 |
$43,247.36 |
$2,189.72 |
+5.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
26,329 |
0.940 |
$24,735.85 |
$2,801.54 |
+12.8% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
10,063 |
0.987 |
$9,927.37 |
$235.56 |
+2.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.987 |
$7,891.99 |
$293.14 |
+3.9% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
7,764 |
1.000 |
$7,760.57 |
$641.63 |
+9.0% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
5,713 |
0.980 |
$5,595.43 |
$414.38 |
+8.0% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
5,436 |
0.998 |
$5,425.49 |
$94.10 |
+1.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
2,845 |
0.665 |
$1,891.97 |
$14.23 |
+0.8% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
1,586 |
0.966 |
$1,531.06 |
$95.75 |
+6.7% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
4,824 |
0.037 |
$180.89 |
$21.11 |
+13.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.915 |
$27.45 |
$2.25 |
+8.9% |