| Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
No |
30,140 |
0.967 |
$29,145.32 |
$845.49 |
+3.0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
26,715 |
0.962 |
$25,686.08 |
$314.19 |
+1.2% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
21,746 |
0.298 |
$6,491.12 |
$1,554.15 |
+31.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
6,250 |
0.987 |
$6,165.62 |
$317.31 |
+5.4% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
21,746 |
0.255 |
$5,545.23 |
$130.69 |
+2.4% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
1,766 |
0.976 |
$1,722.61 |
$66.68 |
+4.0% |
| Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
1,593 |
0.978 |
$1,557.38 |
$99.79 |
+6.8% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
2,515 |
0.580 |
$1,458.83 |
$-50.84 |
-3.4% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
2,579 |
0.515 |
$1,328.34 |
$167.66 |
+14.4% |
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
950 |
0.976 |
$926.73 |
$15.10 |
+1.7% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
21,747 |
0.040 |
$858.99 |
$257.63 |
+42.8% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
841 |
0.973 |
$818.02 |
$31.30 |
+4.0% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
21,746 |
0.037 |
$815.49 |
$281.62 |
+52.7% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
21,746 |
0.035 |
$750.22 |
$-967.59 |
-56.3% |
| Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
750 |
0.994 |
$745.15 |
$26.01 |
+3.6% |
| Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
625 |
0.993 |
$620.23 |
$17.99 |
+3.0% |
| Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
607 |
0.984 |
$597.25 |
$17.30 |
+3.0% |
| Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
559 |
0.997 |
$556.94 |
$19.34 |
+3.6% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
21,746 |
0.025 |
$552.35 |
$-113.34 |
-17.0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
536 |
0.989 |
$530.10 |
$28.98 |
+5.8% |
| Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
447 |
0.992 |
$443.00 |
$17.81 |
+4.2% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
21,746 |
0.019 |
$413.18 |
$0.96 |
+0.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.987 |
$98.65 |
$8.15 |
+9.0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? |
No |
104 |
0.895 |
$93.48 |
$18.73 |
+25.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
64 |
0.625 |
$40.05 |
$-2.88 |
-6.7% |