PnL (30d)

−$3,246

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-25.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

907W / 1,705L · 191 open

Win Return (30d)

35%

977W / 1,826L

Trades (30d)

2,803

across 74 markets · ~38 per market

EV / position

−$50.71

avg win $17 · loss $123

Profit Factor

0.15

$553 won / $3,799 lost

Reward / Risk

0.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$106

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.1% 2,210W/3,444L	167	$44,526
🏛 Politics	65.2% 457W/244L	30	$2,238
🎬 Culture	65.2% 457W/244L	30	$2,238

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	20	0.992	$19.90	$1.42	+7.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	25	0.792	$19.85	$-0.53	-2.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	20	0.974	$19.52	$1.02	+5.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	20	0.924	$18.52	$0.18	+1.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	29	0.565	$16.64	$-4.33	-20.7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	15	0.998	$14.99	$1.56	+11.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	164	0.085	$13.93	$-6.75	-32.6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	18	0.745	$13.57	$1.33	+10.9%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	5	1.000	$5.01	$0.35	+7.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	5	0.992	$4.97	$0.33	+7.1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.875	$4.53	$0.03	+0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	28	0.155	$4.29	$0.14	+3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	20	0.185	$3.76	$0.10	+2.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	15	0.255	$3.72	$-0.22	-5.6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	182	0.017	$3.09	$-6.94	-69.2%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	202	0.005	$1.11	$-2.04	-64.8%