| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
7,500 |
0.625 |
$4,687.49 |
$-1,672.45 |
-26.3% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
1,913 |
0.954 |
$1,824.97 |
$65.04 |
+3.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
1,700 |
0.945 |
$1,606.50 |
$178.50 |
+12.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
1,801 |
0.855 |
$1,540.07 |
$427.82 |
+38.5% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,500 |
0.927 |
$1,391.25 |
$56.25 |
+4.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,200 |
0.875 |
$1,050.00 |
$20.00 |
+1.9% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
1,000 |
0.967 |
$967.00 |
$49.40 |
+5.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.835 |
$835.01 |
$55.00 |
+7.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
No |
750 |
0.977 |
$732.37 |
$4.12 |
+0.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.675 |
$675.00 |
$35.00 |
+5.5% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
300 |
0.820 |
$246.01 |
$132.00 |
+115.8% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
180 |
0.952 |
$171.31 |
$12.89 |
+8.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.041 |
$41.00 |
$-189.00 |
-82.2% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
383 |
0.075 |
$28.75 |
$-9.58 |
-25.0% |