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Trader

0xa2711d1d311a0b2fa7f88d5c7cb760a3fa062727
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
92W / 64L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
100W / 64L · 18 open
Trades (30d)
182
across 56 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.04
avg win $1 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.83
$10 won / $12 lost
Reward / Risk
1.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,694 · all-time $2,280,770

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.4% 795W/1,274L 817 $1,192
⚽ Sports 18.8% 104W/450L 159 $205
💵 Economy 29.4% 5W/12L 21 $15
₿ Crypto 72.2% 13W/5L 19 $16
🎬 Culture 65.1% 28W/15L 15 $12
🌤 Weather 83.9% 26W/5L 13 $21
🤖 Tech 62.2% 23W/14L 11 $9
🏛 Politics 5 $5
🔬 Science 4 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 2.5 Under 461 0.050 $22.84 $22.30 +4105.6%
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score No 56 0.245 $13.72 $13.16 +2350.0%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5 Over 21 0.440 $9.24 $8.19 +780.0%
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 3.5 Under 264 0.027 $7.12 $6.75 +1817.6%
First Blood in Game 2? Team Liquid 56 0.095 $5.32 $4.76 +850.0%
Angers SCO vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 0.5 Under 56 0.050 $2.80 $2.24 +400.0%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5 Under 19 0.135 $2.50 $1.93 +333.6%
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026? Yes 4 0.380 $1.57 $1.44 +1166.6%
Hammarby IF vs. BK Hacken: O/U 0.5 Under 13 0.114 $1.48 $0.96 +185.0%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Chicago Cubs 5 0.235 $1.17 $0.96 +463.0%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 Over 4 0.265 $1.01 $0.21 +26.2%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5 Over 5 0.150 $0.75 $0.25 +50.0%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5 Under 15 0.044 $0.69 $-0.24 -25.8%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Over 2 0.310 $0.62 $0.56 +933.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? Yes 5 0.120 $0.60 $0.45 +300.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 10? Yes 36 0.011 $0.40 $-0.04 -8.3%
Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 29 0.009 $0.28 $0.22 +374.9%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No 1 0.271 $0.28 $0.25 +801.2%
Will Eminem be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 55 0.004 $0.25 $0.09 +58.2%
Will North Carolina have the closest Senate race in 2026? Yes 5 0.048 $0.24 $0.20 +578.3%
Honor of Kings: AG.AL vs Aurora Gaming (BO7) - Honor of Kings World Cup Playoffs Aurora Gaming 3 0.060 $0.17 $-0.69 -80.0%
Will Bruno Mars be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 49 0.003 $0.15 $0.03 +20.9%
Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 7 0.018 $0.12 $0.10 +349.6%
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026? Yes 1 0.115 $0.12 $0.11 +1048.4%
Will Stade Brest 29 win on 2026-08-05? No 3 0.025 $0.08 $-0.22 -72.2%