| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
221 |
0.745 |
$164.31 |
$48.31 |
+41.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
172 |
0.885 |
$151.89 |
$60.89 |
+66.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
134 |
0.785 |
$105.44 |
$42.44 |
+67.4% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
113 |
0.790 |
$89.16 |
$36.06 |
+67.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
124 |
0.685 |
$84.77 |
$4.77 |
+6.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
86 |
0.940 |
$80.47 |
$33.47 |
+71.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
155 |
0.515 |
$79.67 |
$9.67 |
+13.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
No |
123 |
0.645 |
$79.05 |
$9.04 |
+12.9% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
97 |
0.765 |
$74.48 |
$13.47 |
+22.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
82 |
0.835 |
$68.69 |
$30.69 |
+80.8% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
No |
76 |
0.825 |
$62.70 |
$17.10 |
+37.5% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
123 |
0.430 |
$53.01 |
$22.01 |
+71.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
Yes |
33 |
0.755 |
$24.71 |
$6.71 |
+37.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
49 |
0.385 |
$18.82 |
$-3.18 |
-14.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.835 |
$14.11 |
$2.11 |
+17.6% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
130 |
0.075 |
$9.76 |
$-31.92 |
-76.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? |
Yes |
9 |
0.425 |
$3.93 |
$0.23 |
+6.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5? |
Yes |
12 |
0.270 |
$3.25 |
$-0.25 |
-7.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? |
Yes |
11 |
0.240 |
$2.54 |
$0.32 |
+14.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5? |
Yes |
8 |
0.300 |
$2.28 |
$0.08 |
+3.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5? |
Yes |
11 |
0.140 |
$1.58 |
$-0.37 |
-19.0% |