NefariousX
0xa1ed2ae1eaaa057b6d09204cbb0808ef78a4e774
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4,446
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$544
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
9W / 1L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
21W / 22L
Trades (30d)
43
across 6 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$2,222.95
avg win $4,499 · loss $53
Profit Factor
84.98
$4,499 won / $53 lost
Reward / Risk
84.98
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $30,108 · all-time $1,376,912
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
44,433 |
0.405 |
$17,995.44 |
$-11.24 |
-0.1% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
6,808 |
0.949 |
$6,457.77 |
$600.67 |
+10.3% |