Trader
0xa1d3f237b27b8b224ce41a9a06dbc304c29c4356
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$30
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$29
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
6W / 2L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
6W / 7L
Trades (30d)
13
across 4 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$14.98
avg win $4 · loss $34
Profit Factor
0.12
$4 won / $34 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $110 · all-time $55,406
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$9.50 |
+12.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
110 |
0.455 |
$50.05 |
$-8.25 |
-14.1% |