Log in
Trader leaderboard/Risto

Risto

0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$7
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$166
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
3W / 0L · 98 open
Win Return (30d)
97%
98W / 3L
Trades (30d)
101
across 11 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$6.53
avg win $7
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,874 · all-time $4,958,639

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.6% 32W/30L 26 $34,172
₿ Crypto 47.4% 9W/10L 9 $2,579
💵 Economy 47.4% 9W/10L 9 $2,579
🏛 Politics 4 $4,147
🤖 Tech 1 $471
🔬 Science 1 $471

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 10,018 0.977 $9,788.05 $208.76 +2.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 11,300 0.675 $7,627.47 $621.57 +8.9%
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 5,000 0.875 $4,375.00 $1,475.00 +50.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,800 0.845 $2,366.01 $182.00 +8.3%
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No 1,500 0.765 $1,147.84 $-20.51 -1.8%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 1,091 0.865 $943.34 $112.27 +13.5%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No 1,000 0.855 $855.00 $35.00 +4.3%
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 2,000 0.405 $810.00 $-340.00 -29.6%
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 1,000 0.805 $805.26 $32.43 +4.2%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 600 0.865 $518.81 $367.64 +243.2%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No 500 0.952 $475.74 $4.25 +0.9%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 500 0.870 $434.75 $2.75 +0.6%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 300 0.949 $284.54 $28.05 +10.9%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 505 0.555 $280.29 $-57.30 -17.0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 6,000 0.046 $278.99 $27.58 +11.0%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 222 0.974 $216.11 $23.64 +12.3%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 150 0.825 $123.77 $26.42 +27.1%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No 100 0.909 $90.90 $7.50 +9.0%
Will United Russia win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections? Yes 70 0.962 $67.34 $1.54 +2.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 54 0.625 $33.53 $-0.31 -0.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,976 0.009 $28.27 $4.46 +18.7%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 7,126 0.004 $24.94 $-89.07 -78.1%
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 16 0.640 $9.94 $2.33 +30.6%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,705 0.003 $9.26 $-12.97 -58.3%
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 5 0.790 $4.15 $0.79 +23.5%