th2
0xa16354193f1f166db6cc24d932d8b091296ade8d
PnL (30d)
−$1,259
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$34
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
7W / 27L · 40 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
26W / 29L · 19 open
Trades (30d)
74
across 17 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$157.34
avg win $303 · loss $618
Profit Factor
0.49
$1,211 won / $2,470 lost
Reward / Risk
0.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $818,727
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
21,118 |
0.954 |
$20,136.12 |
$906.62 |
+4.7% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? |
No |
10,012 |
0.905 |
$9,060.73 |
$261.81 |
+3.0% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
6,000 |
0.915 |
$5,489.93 |
$287.14 |
+5.5% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
794 |
0.440 |
$349.25 |
$-261.94 |
-42.9% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.700 |
$105.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
No |
47 |
0.570 |
$27.02 |
$0.47 |
+1.8% |