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Trader leaderboard/Crabsoup92

Crabsoup92

0xa15655c43a7e4b50190d1f14198e80da86a1cf02
PnL (30d)
−$1,368
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$382
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
100W / 144L · 148 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
202W / 190L
Trades (30d)
392
across 87 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$19.01
avg win $61 · loss $76
Profit Factor
0.57
$1,836 won / $3,204 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$78
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,817 · all-time $79,381

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.0% 100W/144L 87 $22,832
⚽ Sports 60.5% 23W/15L 17 $1,303
💵 Economy 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $2,014
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/10L 4 $78
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $586
₿ Crypto 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? Yes 2,671 0.465 $1,241.89 $136.81 +12.4%
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes 1,096 0.815 $892.98 $36.51 +4.3%
Will DetonatioN FocusMe Win LCP 2026 Split 3? No 523 0.996 $520.82 $94.26 +22.1%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? Yes 2,437 0.165 $402.08 $-103.35 -20.4%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes 1,358 0.295 $400.72 $47.54 +13.5%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? Yes 594 0.670 $398.06 $13.77 +3.6%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 300 0.755 $226.46 $38.83 +20.7%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes 801 0.135 $108.08 $-23.98 -18.2%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? Yes 364 0.230 $83.66 $-15.68 -15.8%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? Yes 200 0.310 $62.00 $-3.00 -4.6%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Yes 311 0.165 $51.36 $-8.83 -14.7%
Will Team Secret Whales Make the LCP 2026 Split 3 Grand Final? Yes 40 0.955 $38.20 $24.20 +172.9%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? No 90 0.201 $18.04 $-1.24 -6.5%
Will Hanwha Life Esports Win KeSPA Cup 2026? Yes 190 0.093 $17.65 $-21.90 -55.4%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? Yes 202 0.026 $5.35 $-1.01 -15.8%