DusanKent
0xa14dd15a484098b6b15e01891319f708ab1ffcec
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$71
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$23
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
13W / 8L · 214 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
150W / 83L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
235
across 13 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
+$17.87
avg win $38 · loss $3
Profit Factor
14.69
$77 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
14.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,000 · all-time $679,870
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
440 |
0.963 |
$423.50 |
$-3.30 |
-0.8% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
400 |
0.987 |
$394.60 |
$12.80 |
+3.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August? |
No |
200 |
0.993 |
$198.60 |
$0.20 |
+0.1% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
No |
195 |
0.967 |
$188.44 |
$1.36 |
+0.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August? |
No |
141 |
0.998 |
$141.18 |
$0.14 |
+0.1% |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
59 |
0.988 |
$58.26 |
$0.74 |
+1.3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.983 |
$45.54 |
$0.07 |
+0.2% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? |
No |
25 |
0.976 |
$24.65 |
$0.27 |
+1.1% |