Kris-Future
0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$393
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,174
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
21W / 1L · 72 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
21W / 73L
Trades (30d)
94
across 6 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
+$98.29
avg win $138 · loss $22
Profit Factor
18.87
$415 won / $22 lost
Reward / Risk
6.29
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,889 · all-time $548,382
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
11,200 |
0.980 |
$10,970.39 |
$139.27 |
+1.3% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Yes |
38,559 |
0.115 |
$4,434.33 |
$-1,389.49 |
-23.9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
No |
2,000 |
0.905 |
$1,810.00 |
$-3.99 |
-0.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,100 |
0.964 |
$1,059.84 |
$102.85 |
+10.7% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
Yes |
3,954 |
0.041 |
$160.13 |
$-387.29 |
-70.7% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.080 |
$160.00 |
$-390.00 |
-70.9% |