| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
15,863 |
0.875 |
$13,880.44 |
$2,507.25 |
+22.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
15,528 |
0.795 |
$12,344.74 |
$4,222.10 |
+52.0% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
2,686 |
0.625 |
$1,678.69 |
$197.93 |
+13.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,069 |
0.455 |
$486.39 |
$-128.33 |
-20.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
244 |
0.675 |
$164.88 |
$18.32 |
+12.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
199 |
0.770 |
$153.23 |
$67.66 |
+79.1% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? |
Yes |
595 |
0.255 |
$151.48 |
$-18.76 |
-11.0% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
109 |
0.968 |
$105.48 |
$3.84 |
+3.8% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? |
No |
250 |
0.390 |
$97.50 |
$-10.00 |
-9.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
138 |
0.702 |
$96.54 |
$0.66 |
+0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
255 |
0.305 |
$77.77 |
$16.57 |
+27.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
91 |
0.785 |
$71.44 |
$52.08 |
+269.0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
71 |
0.905 |
$64.25 |
$0.45 |
+0.7% |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.642 |
$64.21 |
$2.21 |
+3.6% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
65 |
0.927 |
$60.42 |
$1.12 |
+1.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
258 |
0.213 |
$55.16 |
$-23.45 |
-29.8% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? |
No |
57 |
0.915 |
$52.16 |
$6.55 |
+14.4% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
Yes |
106 |
0.465 |
$49.29 |
$0.53 |
+1.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
54 |
0.835 |
$45.09 |
$0.13 |
+0.3% |
| Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.870 |
$43.50 |
$10.00 |
+29.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
255 |
0.165 |
$42.07 |
$-8.92 |
-17.5% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
40 |
0.980 |
$39.20 |
$3.60 |
+10.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
335 |
0.114 |
$38.02 |
$-144.04 |
-79.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
40 |
0.945 |
$37.80 |
$16.60 |
+78.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
105 |
0.355 |
$37.27 |
$0.52 |
+1.4% |