PnL (30d)

−$495

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$199

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

26W / 11L · 56 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

45W / 48L

Trades (30d)

93

across 11 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$61.87

avg win $7 · loss $546

Profit Factor

0.09

$51 won / $546 lost

Reward / Risk

0.01

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	93.9% 7,538W/490L	104	$728,994
🏛 Politics	12.4% 12W/85L	11	$117,898
💵 Economy	100.0% 12W/0L	8	$71,617
🤖 Tech	100.0% 13W/0L	3	$1,571
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	3	$1,006
🎬 Culture	4.3% 2W/44L	3	$18,938

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	16,000	0.455	$7,279.98	$-549.87	-7.0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	9,455	0.515	$4,869.17	$273.28	+5.9%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	3,900	0.545	$2,125.49	$57.51	+2.8%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	4,300	0.325	$1,397.50	$355.16	+34.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	1,636	0.485	$793.67	$6.50	+0.8%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	700	0.540	$378.01	$117.53	+45.1%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	1,650	0.065	$107.25	$-78.75	-42.3%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	No	100	0.982	$98.20	$0.40	+0.4%
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	6	1.000	$5.59	$0.05	+1.0%