| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.925 |
$2,775.00 |
$75.00 |
+2.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
2,532 |
0.935 |
$2,367.81 |
$205.91 |
+9.5% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? |
No |
1,997 |
0.965 |
$1,926.39 |
$13.04 |
+0.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,860 |
0.380 |
$1,466.91 |
$-147.99 |
-9.2% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? |
No |
1,251 |
0.932 |
$1,165.84 |
$27.46 |
+2.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
1,391 |
0.825 |
$1,147.72 |
$-23.74 |
-2.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
No |
1,509 |
0.750 |
$1,131.96 |
$420.94 |
+59.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,400 |
0.455 |
$1,091.99 |
$-155.98 |
-12.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
1,051 |
0.961 |
$1,009.49 |
$-0.12 |
-0.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,200 |
0.455 |
$1,001.01 |
$183.37 |
+22.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.675 |
$945.00 |
$99.10 |
+11.7% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.925 |
$925.01 |
$5.00 |
+0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
987 |
0.775 |
$764.94 |
$4.94 |
+0.7% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? |
No |
688 |
0.992 |
$682.15 |
$9.75 |
+1.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.959 |
$575.10 |
$0.90 |
+0.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
No |
587 |
0.870 |
$510.62 |
$106.10 |
+26.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.835 |
$417.51 |
$28.35 |
+7.3% |
| Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections? |
Yes |
425 |
0.971 |
$412.89 |
$4.04 |
+1.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.987 |
$394.60 |
$0.20 |
+0.1% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
3,253 |
0.114 |
$370.81 |
$-13.77 |
-3.6% |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? |
No |
407 |
0.890 |
$361.94 |
$127.60 |
+54.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
700 |
0.515 |
$360.49 |
$-49.50 |
-12.1% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,365 |
0.260 |
$355.00 |
$-210.66 |
-37.2% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? |
No |
443 |
0.745 |
$330.34 |
$74.04 |
+28.9% |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
2,745 |
0.115 |
$315.72 |
$-228.80 |
-42.0% |