PnL (30d)

−$11

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-36.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

762W / 140L · 5,360 open

Win Return (30d)

89%

1,342W / 161L · 4,759 open

Trades (30d)

6,262

across 4,885 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.03

avg win $0 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.76

$22 won / $12 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.5% 762W/140L	4885	$66
🏛 Politics	100.0% 19W/0L	209	$3
🎬 Culture	100.0% 14W/0L	171	$2
⚽ Sports	—	150	$2
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	88	$1
💵 Economy	100.0% 12W/0L	68	$1
🌤 Weather	100.0% 7W/0L	53	$1
🤖 Tech	100.0% 2W/0L	23	$0
🔬 Science	—	4	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Exact Score: Modena FC 2 - 2 ACF Fiorentina?	Yes	4	0.226	$1.00	$1.00	+22447.2%
Will Fredrikstad win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	2	0.117	$0.20	$0.20	+11648.8%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	180	0.001	$0.09	$-0.09	-50.0%
Will Lillestrøm win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	4	0.019	$0.08	$0.08	+1797.6%
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	1	0.081	$0.08	$0.08	+7950.0%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	1	0.064	$0.06	$0.06	+6237.6%
Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	6	0.011	$0.06	$0.06	+950.0%
Will Lerone Murphy be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	6	0.010	$0.06	$0.05	+900.0%
Will Donovan Fenton win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	12	0.005	$0.06	$0.05	+400.0%
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	Yes	6	0.009	$0.06	$0.05	+850.0%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	18	0.003	$0.05	$0.04	+200.0%
Will Martin Ojeda win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	Yes	6	0.009	$0.05	$0.05	+798.3%
Will Pete Hegseth be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	12	0.004	$0.05	$0.04	+349.2%
Will Santos win Brazil Série A?	Yes	12	0.004	$0.05	$0.04	+349.2%
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?	Yes	12	0.004	$0.05	$0.04	+349.2%
Will Arman Tsarukyan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	6	0.009	$0.05	$0.04	+750.0%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?	Yes	6	0.009	$0.05	$0.04	+750.0%
Will Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.005	$0.05	$0.04	+400.0%
Will Yair Rodriguez fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	5	0.010	$0.05	$0.04	+900.0%
Will Sean Manaea win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	5	0.009	$0.05	$0.04	+799.6%
Will Bruno Fernandes join Bayern Munich?	Yes	6	0.008	$0.05	$0.04	+700.0%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	6	0.008	$0.05	$0.04	+700.0%
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	6	0.008	$0.05	$0.04	+700.0%
Will Kelsey Plum have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	6	0.008	$0.05	$0.04	+700.0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	24	0.002	$0.05	$0.02	+100.0%