| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
37 |
0.935 |
$34.14 |
$9.14 |
+36.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.925 |
$26.33 |
$1.34 |
+5.4% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
37 |
0.580 |
$21.74 |
$5.92 |
+37.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
18 |
0.855 |
$15.77 |
$2.93 |
+22.8% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.956 |
$14.96 |
$1.75 |
+13.2% |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? |
No |
10 |
0.967 |
$9.21 |
$0.26 |
+2.9% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.923 |
$8.69 |
$0.88 |
+11.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
9 |
0.905 |
$7.92 |
$1.23 |
+18.4% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.885 |
$7.63 |
$1.85 |
+32.1% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.875 |
$7.39 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.853 |
$6.79 |
$0.76 |
+12.6% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.895 |
$6.11 |
$0.38 |
+6.5% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.823 |
$5.55 |
$0.05 |
+1.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.945 |
$5.25 |
$1.04 |
+24.6% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
5 |
0.945 |
$4.85 |
$0.13 |
+2.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.860 |
$4.80 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.785 |
$4.34 |
$1.46 |
+50.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.650 |
$4.00 |
$0.62 |
+18.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.635 |
$3.86 |
$-0.43 |
-9.9% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.81 |
$0.59 |
+18.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
3 |
1.000 |
$3.37 |
$0.77 |
+29.8% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
3 |
0.979 |
$3.35 |
$0.88 |
+35.9% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.905 |
$3.15 |
$0.85 |
+37.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.710 |
$2.90 |
$0.12 |
+4.4% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.865 |
$2.55 |
$-0.13 |
-4.9% |