PnL (30d)

−$91

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-17.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

13%

84W / 539L · 759 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

548W / 825L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

1,382

across 86 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

−$1.52

avg win $28 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.65

$168 won / $259 lost

Reward / Risk

5.83

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$41

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.2% 736W/3,797L	225	$8,443
🏛 Politics	5.3% 7W/125L	34	$165
🎬 Culture	5.3% 7W/125L	25	$119
⚽ Sports	—	1	$12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	1,100	0.032	$35.20	$-8.35	-19.2%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	2,600	0.009	$22.10	$-14.59	-39.8%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	2,264	0.009	$21.50	$-5.58	-20.6%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	250	0.085	$21.25	$-3.75	-15.0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	853	0.024	$20.47	$-5.97	-22.6%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	Yes	2,254	0.007	$15.78	$1.54	+10.8%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	1,050	0.014	$14.70	$0.66	+4.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	800	0.016	$12.80	$-0.70	-5.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	3,088	0.004	$12.35	$3.22	+35.3%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	Yes	593	0.018	$10.97	$5.63	+105.6%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	3,500	0.003	$10.50	$3.50	+50.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	Yes	1,211	0.009	$10.29	$-13.47	-56.7%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	3,200	0.003	$8.00	$-17.60	-68.8%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Yes	1,700	0.004	$5.95	$-2.64	-30.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	Yes	1,117	0.004	$5.03	$0.56	+12.5%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,900	0.002	$4.35	$-2.11	-32.6%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	1,023	0.004	$4.09	$-3.32	-44.8%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,500	0.002	$3.75	$1.25	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,400	0.003	$3.50	$-5.09	-59.3%
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	62	0.055	$3.41	$-2.79	-45.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.018	$2.62	$-2.02	-43.5%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	Yes	1,748	0.002	$2.62	$-0.87	-25.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	Yes	500	0.005	$2.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.017	$1.70	$-1.40	-45.2%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	650	0.003	$1.62	$-0.32	-16.7%