DorkiPorki
0x9fc04328779787d59935a6649ca8e7694b78cb4b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$31
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$41
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
5W / 8L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
26W / 11L
Trades (30d)
37
across 8 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$10.26
avg win $2 · loss $34
Profit Factor
0.10
$3 won / $34 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,052 · all-time $85,690
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,975 |
0.980 |
$2,913.54 |
$45.98 |
+1.6% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
386 |
0.983 |
$378.90 |
$1.43 |
+0.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
331 |
0.962 |
$318.13 |
$2.03 |
+0.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
237 |
0.905 |
$214.39 |
$3.55 |
+1.7% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
137 |
0.984 |
$134.70 |
$-0.27 |
-0.2% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
124 |
0.830 |
$102.77 |
$10.60 |
+11.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.896 |
$19.36 |
$-0.94 |
-4.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.997 |
$3.99 |
$0.03 |
+0.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.965 |
$3.87 |
$-0.10 |
-2.6% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.780 |
$2.25 |
$0.09 |
+4.0% |