PnL (30d)

+$240

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+198.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

9W / 11L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

12W / 14L

Trades (30d)

26

across 22 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$15.03

avg win $61 · loss $6

Profit Factor

4.64

$306 won / $66 lost

Reward / Risk

10.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$81

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.0% 9W/11L	22	$447
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	7	$120
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	7	$120

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	50	0.198	$9.87	$4.87	+97.4%
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	58	0.115	$6.63	$1.63	+32.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	67	0.095	$6.33	$-3.67	-36.7%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	50	0.124	$6.20	$1.20	+24.0%
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	59	0.075	$4.42	$-0.58	-11.7%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45	0.038	$1.75	$-3.25	-65.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	45	0.005	$0.25	$-4.75	-95.0%